Lecture 8 — Justice and Health Care

Part B: Why US Health Care Costs So Much — and Delivers So Little

Brendan Shea, PhD

An Introduction to Bioethics.

The Most Expensive Care in the World

Where We Left Off

In Part A we built four lenses for asking what a just society owes people: maximize good (utilitarian), protect the worst-off (Rawls), respect free choices (libertarian), secure what people need to function (capabilities). We argued, with Daniels, about whether health care is a right at all.

That was the theory. Part B is the machine those values have to deal with — the real US health care system. Before we can argue about how to fix it, we have to see clearly how it actually works, what it costs, and what it delivers.

Guess First

Before the numbers appear, write down your best guess.

  1. How much does the US spend on health care per person, per year — counting everything (insurance, taxes, out-of-pocket)?
  2. Among wealthy countries, where do you think the US ranks on life expectancy — near the top, middle, or bottom?
  3. Do you expect Americans to use more doctor visits and hospital days than people in other rich countries, or fewer?

The Paradox

The United States spends far more on health care than any nation on Earth — and its people are not healthier for it.

United States OECD average
Spending per person (2024) ~$14,900 ~$6,000–7,000
Share of the whole economy 17.6% of GDP ~9–11%
Life expectancy (2024) 79.0 years ~81.5 years
Maternal deaths / 100,000 (2023) ~18.6 ~10

We spend roughly double — and live about two and a half years less (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services 2024; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development 2025).

One number moved the right way. US life expectancy rose to 79.0 years in 2024 — an all-time high, up from 78.4 in 2023 — and COVID-19 dropped out of the ten leading causes of death for the first time since 2019 (National Center for Health Statistics 2026). The single largest contributor was the steep fall in drug overdose deaths (see Chapter 5A). The gap with peer nations narrowed, but did not close: the US still spends about twice as much to end up two-plus years behind.

This gap is not a small inefficiency — it is the central puzzle of American health policy, and where Part A stops being abstract: a country that treats care as mostly a market good has built a system with extraordinary capabilities and extraordinary gaps. Everything in this lecture answers one question: why?

Today

By the end of Part B, you will be able to:

  • Explain the paradox: highest spending, middling outcomes.
  • Describe the four models of a health system (Beveridge, National Health Insurance, Bismarck, out-of-pocket) and name countries that use each.
  • Show why the US is “fragmented” — it runs all four models at once — and map its programs onto them.
  • Trace how the system got this way since 1945, and explain why US care is so expensive (“it’s the prices, not the utilization”) and why outcomes lag.
  • Name what the US does best and where it struggles, including the nursing workforce crisis.
  • Argue, using a Part A value, which model the US should move toward.

Four Ways to Build a Health System

Two Questions Define Every System

Before we look at the US, we need a map. Every health system on earth is built from the answers to just two questions:

  • Who delivers the care? — does the government own the hospitals and employ the staff, or are they private?
  • Who pays for it? — the government from taxes, regulated insurance funds, or you, out of pocket?

The journalist T. R. Reid sorted the world’s systems into four models by those two answers (Reid 2009). Almost every country picks one. Keep that word — one — in mind.

The Four Models

Model Who delivers Who pays Where you’ll find it
Beveridge government owns it government (taxes) UK (NHS), Spain, Cuba
National Health Insurance private providers one government insurer Canada, Taiwan
Bismarck private providers regulated nonprofit funds (payroll) Germany, France, Japan
Out-of-pocket whoever you can find you, if you can pay most low-income countries

The deepest split is who pays, running from “the public, for everyone” (Beveridge, NHI) to “private but tightly regulated” (Bismarck) to “you’re on your own” (out-of-pocket). These are idealizations — real countries blend at the edges — but each builds its system around one model and makes it coherent. Hold that thought: the United States did something no one else did.

Beveridge vs. National Health Insurance

Beveridge (UK’s NHS, since 1948)

The government owns the hospitals and employs the doctors, and funds it all through taxes. Care is free at the point of use. This is what “socialized medicine” actually means — the state runs the whole thing.

National Health Insurance (Canada, Taiwan)

Doctors and hospitals stay private, but a single government insurer pays them, funded by taxes. One payer, private delivery. No marketing, no denials for profit, strong bargaining power on prices.

Bismarck vs. Out-of-Pocket

Bismarck (Germany since 1883, France, Japan)

Care and insurance are private — but insurers are nonprofit “sickness funds,” everyone must be covered, and prices are tightly regulated. Switzerland’s mandate, and the US ACA, are cousins of this model.

Out-of-pocket

No system at all: you get the care you can pay for, and go without the rest. This is the reality for most people in poor countries — and, as we’ll see, for the uninsured in the US.

A System That Isn’t One System

One Life, Every Program

The US has no single health system. It has a patchwork — and the easiest way to see it is to follow one person through a lifetime.

Meet Maria.

  • Born: her family is low-income, so she’s covered by Medicaid/CHIP.
  • Age 26: good job with benefits — employer-sponsored insurance.
  • Age 34: laid off. Briefly uninsured, then buys a plan on the ACA exchange with a subsidy.
  • Age 60: chronic illness, can’t keep working full-time — a coverage gap.
  • Age 65: ages into Medicare.
  • Age 81: needs a nursing home; Medicare won’t cover long-term care, so she spends down her savings until Medicaid does.

One person. Six different programs — and, as we’re about to see, three different countries’ models of health care, all without leaving the US.

Who Covers Whom

US health coverage in 2023 (Keisler-Starkey et al. 2024):

Source of coverage Share of population
Employer-sponsored ~54%
Medicare (65+ and disabled) ~19%
Medicaid (low-income) ~19%
Direct purchase / ACA exchanges ~10%
VA / military a few %
Uninsured ~8% (≈26 million)

Shares add to more than 100% because many people hold more than one type in a year. About 92.5% of Americans had some coverage — a near-record high, and still leaving 26 million with none.

That high-water mark has just receded. The enhanced ACA premium tax credits — the pandemic-era subsidies that drove coverage to its record level — expired on December 31, 2025. Congress did not renew them.

The effects landed immediately:

  • For the average subsidized enrollee, monthly premiums more than doubled — from roughly $888 to about $1,904 — according to KFF estimates.
  • The Urban Institute estimates 4.8 million additional Americans became uninsured in 2026, a 21% jump in the uninsured population (Congressional Research Service 2026).
  • Roughly 9% of prior marketplace enrollees dropped coverage outright, with another 17% saying they may not be able to keep paying.

So the “near record high” above describes a peak the country has already come down from. Treat the coverage numbers in this chapter as the 2024–25 high-water mark, and expect the 2026 figures to be meaningfully worse.

Write or discuss: Part A argued about whether health care is a right or a market good. Notice that nothing about American law or medicine changed here — a subsidy lapsed, and millions lost coverage. What does it say about a system that the practical answer to “do you have a right to care?” turns on whether a tax credit is renewed?

The US Runs All Four Models at Once

This is the heart of “fragmentation.” Other countries pick one model. The US runs all four simultaneously — and which one you live under depends on your age, job, income, and luck (Reid 2009).

If you are… Your coverage …is really this model …like which country
A veteran (VA) government hospitals Beveridge the UK
65 or older Medicare National Health Insurance Canada
Working with benefits employer insurance Bismarck Germany
Uninsured pay or go without Out-of-pocket the developing world

A single country containing Britain, Canada, Germany, and the developing world — sorted by who you happen to be. And running four systems at once isn’t only untidy — it is expensive: every provider bills all of them at once (the paperwork tax we’ll see shortly), people fall between models into the gaps at the seams where the 26 million uninsured live, and no single payer dominates enough to negotiate prices the way Canada or the UK can.

Employer-Sponsored Insurance — the Core

About half of Americans get coverage through a job — the single largest piece of the system, and the one most people never chose.

  • Your employer buys a group plan and pays much of the premium; you pay the rest from your paycheck.
  • In 2025, the average family plan cost $26,993 a year in total premiums — up 6% in a single year — with workers contributing about $6,850 from their paychecks and the employer “paying” the rest (out of wages they’d otherwise get) (KFF 2025).
  • Lose or change the job, and you can lose the coverage. Maria’s layoff is the system’s built-in fragility.

Medicare and Medicaid — the 1965 Pillars

Medicare — federal, for people 65+ and the long-term disabled.

  • Part A: hospital
  • Part B: outpatient/doctors
  • Part C: private “Advantage” plans
  • Part D: drugs

Nearly universal for the old — the closest thing the US has to a right to care.

Medicaid — joint federal–state, for low-income people.

  • Rules and generosity vary by state.
  • The ACA let states expand it to more low-income adults; not all did.
  • Quietly enormous: it pays for about 4 in 10 US births and most nursing-home care.

The VA — Actual Government Medicine

One corner of the US system looks like the rest of the wealthy world.

  • The Veterans Health Administration doesn’t just insure veterans — it owns the hospitals and employs the doctors. The government delivers the care directly.
  • This is pure Beveridge — the UK’s model, running inside the United States. It’s what people usually mean by “socialized medicine,” and it’s already the largest integrated system in the country.
  • So the same nation that leaves 26 million uninsured also runs a full British-style health service for its veterans. That is the patchwork in one breath.

The Exchanges and the Uninsured

For people without a job-based plan, Medicare, or Medicaid, the ACA marketplaces (since 2014) sell individual plans, with income-based subsidies.

  • About 10% of Americans buy coverage this way or on the individual market.
  • Even so, ~26 million remain uninsured — too well-off for Medicaid, no job-based plan, or unwilling/unable to buy in.
  • The uninsured don’t simply go without: by law, emergency rooms must still treat them — a fact with its own history, coming up next.

How We Got Here

The Accident That Built the System

America’s job-based system was not designed. It was an accident of World War II.

  • Wartime wage controls (1942–43) froze what employers could pay. To compete for scarce workers, they offered health benefits instead of raises.
  • Then the government ruled those benefits tax-free — confirmed in the 1954 tax code. A dollar of health insurance wasn’t taxed; a dollar of wages was.
  • That tax break made job-based coverage explode. The US tied health care to employment not by choice, but by a loophole no one ever closed.

The Hidden Subsidy

That 1954 tax break is still here — and it is enormous.

  • Excluding employer health benefits from taxes cost the federal government about $299 billion in 2022 — the single largest tax expenditure in the entire federal budget (Tax Policy Center 2024).
  • It is invisible: most workers have no idea they receive it.
  • It is regressive — worth more to higher earners in higher tax brackets. The US already heavily subsidizes health care; it just does it quietly, and tilts it toward the well-off.

A Short History, 1945–Today

G a 1948 Truman's national plan fails b 1965 Medicare & Medicaid a->b c 1986 EMTALA: ERs must treat b->c d 1994 Clinton plan fails c->d e 2003 Medicare Part D (drugs) d->e f 2010 ACA: exchanges, Medicaid expansion e->f

Two big expansions (1965, 2010), two big failures (1948, 1994), and one unfunded promise — EMTALA, which since 1986 has required hospitals to screen and stabilize anyone in an emergency, regardless of ability to pay (United States Congress 1986). Eighty years of fights, and the core never moved: coverage is still built around the employer, and the US still has no universal guarantee (United States Congress 2010). Every reform added a patch rather than replacing the quilt — leaving the fragmented system we just mapped, and the costs we turn to now.

Why So Expensive?

It’s the Prices, Not the Utilization

The intuitive guess is that Americans must overuse care — too many tests, too many visits. The evidence says the opposite.

  • Americans actually have fewer doctor visits and fewer hospital stays than the OECD average.
  • What’s different is that each unit costs far more: the same drug, scan, or procedure simply has a higher price tag in the US.
  • Health economists summed it up in a famous title: “It’s still the prices, stupid” (Anderson et al. 2019). The volume isn’t the problem. The prices are.

What Drives the Prices

If prices are the engine, what feeds them?

  • Drug prices — the US pays far more for the same medications than other countries, which negotiate or cap prices.
  • Higher salaries — for physicians and many staff, well above peer-country norms.
  • Hospital market power — mergers leave many regions with one dominant system that can name its price.
  • Opacity — patients almost never see a price before care, so normal market discipline never kicks in.

The Paperwork Tax

Some of the money never buys care at all — it buys billing.

Administrative complexity. With hundreds of insurers, each with its own rules, codes, and denials, the US spends enormously just managing the money.

  • Administration is about 8% of US health spending, versus 1–3% in peer countries.
  • Hospital administration alone runs about 25% of costs — the highest of eight nations studied.
  • Billing and insurance paperwork costs roughly $2,497 per person in the US, against $551 in Canada (Himmelstein et al. 2020).

Part of this is the price of running four models at once: every provider must bill Medicare, Medicaid, dozens of private insurers, and self-pay patients, each with its own rules. Canada has one payer to bill. We have thousands.

Fee-for-Service: Paying for Volume

Underneath the prices is an incentive problem in how we pay.

Fee-for-service

Providers are paid per thing done — per test, scan, procedure. The built-in incentive is to do more, whether or not it helps. Volume is rewarded; restraint is not.

Value-based care

The alternative pays for keeping people healthy — a fixed amount per patient, or bonuses for good outcomes. It’s spreading slowly, but fee-for-service still dominates US medicine.

A Lens Check

Note

“Let the market set prices” is a libertarian instinct from Part A — free transactions, minimal interference. It does drive innovation and rewards investment.

But health care breaks the assumptions a market needs: patients can’t shop while having a heart attack, can’t see prices, and can’t walk away. The utilitarian asks whether all this spending actually maximizes health (it doesn’t), and Daniels asks whether prices this high are compatible with fair access (they aren’t). Same facts, three verdicts.

When Insured Isn’t Covered

Thought Question

You have a job and a health insurance plan. Your appendix bursts; you get emergency surgery and go home in two days, cured. Weeks later, a bill arrives: after everything your insurance paid, you owe $15,000 — a deductible, “out-of-network” charges from a surgeon you never chose, and coinsurance.

  1. You did everything right and were insured. How did you still end up owing $15,000?
  2. Did you have any real chance to “shop” or consent to these prices?
  3. Should being insured mean you’re protected from this — and if so, who pays the difference?

Make It Contemporary

This is ordinary, not rare.

  • Medical bills are a leading cause of personal bankruptcy in the US, and a large share of online fundraisers are for medical costs.
  • The bill in the scenario — surprise charges from out-of-network providers at an in-network hospital — was so common that Congress passed the No Surprises Act, effective 2022, to ban much of it (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services 2022).

Discuss: A law was needed to stop hospitals from billing insured patients for doctors those patients never chose. What does needing that law tell you about the system?

After You’ve Discussed

Note

A distinction the coverage numbers hide:

  • Uninsured means no plan at all (~8%).
  • Underinsured means you have a plan, but its deductibles and cost-sharing are so high that you still can’t afford care or get wiped out by a bill.

Tens of millions are underinsured. “92.5% covered” can hide people who skip prescriptions, avoid the ER, or go bankrupt anyway. Health economists call the bankrupting effect financial toxicity — when the treatment for the bill becomes its own illness.

Why Poorer Outcomes?

Access Gaps

Part of the outcomes gap is straightforward: people who can’t afford care get less of it, later.

  • The uninsured and underinsured delay care, skip medications, and avoid preventive visits until problems become emergencies.
  • Emergency, late-stage care is both worse for patients and more expensive for everyone.
  • Peer countries with universal coverage remove this barrier — one clear reason their populations do better on basic measures.

But It’s Not Only the System

Here honesty matters: a large share of the US disadvantage is not something hospitals can fix.

  • Americans face higher rates of obesity, firearm deaths, vehicle deaths, and drug overdoses than peers — though overdoses have fallen sharply, from about 110,000 in 2023 to roughly 70,000 in 2025.
  • Deep income inequality and poverty shape health long before anyone reaches a clinic.
  • These are social and behavioral drivers. Even a perfect health system would leave much of the gap untouched — which is exactly why the gap is so stubborn.

Shorter Lives, Even for the Advantaged

The finding that surprised everyone.

A landmark 2013 National Academies report, U.S. Health in International Perspective: Shorter Lives, Poorer Health, found the US disadvantage runs across the whole life course — and is not explained only by the poor or by minorities (National Research Council and Institute of Medicine 2013).

Even white, college-educated, insured, high-income Americans were found to be in worse health than similar people in peer nations. The disadvantage is national, not just a problem of the margins.

Disparities Within

The national average also hides sharp gaps inside the US.

  • Life expectancy differs by years across racial and economic lines.
  • Maternal mortality for Black women is roughly three times that of white women.
  • Infant mortality for Black infants (~10.9 per 1,000) is about three times that of Asian infants (~3.5) (Ely and Driscoll 2025).

These are the population-level injustices Part A’s theories were built to name. They are not random — they track access, history, and bias.

What We’re Good At, and Where We Struggle

Best in the World — and Failing the Basics

Genuine strengths

  • For complex, specialized care, Mayo Clinic, Cleveland Clinic, and MD Anderson are among the best on Earth.
  • US cancer survival is at or near the top internationally — highest for prostate, top-tier for breast and colon (CONCORD) (Allemani et al. 2018).
  • The US leads in biomedical innovation, and the well-insured face little or no waiting for specialty care.

Where it fails

  • Prices no one can see or predict; access gaps for tens of millions.
  • A crushing administrative burden.
  • Rural hospital closures leaving whole regions without nearby care.
  • A life-expectancy stall that, even after the COVID rebound, leaves the US years behind its peers.

The Workforce Crisis

The strain shows up most sharply in the people who deliver the care — especially nurses.

Why Staffing Is an Ethics Problem

Note

A shortage of nurses is not just an HR headache — it is a justice and safety issue.

  • Thinner staffing means higher patient-to-nurse ratios, which research links to worse patient outcomes.
  • Worse conditions drive burnout, which drives more nurses out — a self-feeding cycle.
  • Shortages hit rural and safety-net settings hardest, widening the very disparities we just described.

The system’s failures land on patients through the workforce. Who staffs the bedside is a distributive-justice question too.

Which Model Should the US Choose?

Choosing on Purpose: Taiwan

The US drifted into its patchwork by accident. It doesn’t have to stay there — and one country proves it.

In the early 1990s Taiwan had no universal system. Rather than guess, its government studied health systems around the world, then in 1995 deliberately built a National Health Insurance model — single public insurer, private delivery. It reached near-universal coverage in a few years, at a fraction of US cost.

The lesson

A country can look at the menu and choose. The US question is not “is reform possible?” — Taiwan, Canada, Germany, and Britain all answer yes. It is which model, and which value that choice serves.

Three Directions, Three Values

Each reform path advances a different Part A value — and sacrifices another.

Reform Model Serves… Strains…
Medicare for All NHI equal access (Rawls, Daniels) liberty; existing plans
Public option NHI + Bismarck a middle path satisfies neither side fully
Build out the ACA Bismarck coverage and choice complexity; cost control
Market reforms toward out-of-pocket liberty (libertarian) the worst-off

There is no value-free choice. To pick a model is to pick which of Part A’s principles you put first.

Make It Contemporary

“Medicare for All” would cover every American through a single public insurer, ending most private plans and the link between jobs and coverage.

  1. Which Part A value does it serve best — and which does it sacrifice?
  2. It would likely lower total spending (less administration, real price negotiation) but raise taxes while ending premiums. Is that a good trade?
  3. Tens of millions are happy with employer plans. Should a reform that helps the worst-off be allowed to change what they have?

Wrap-Up

We started with a paradox: the US spends about double any peer nation, near $14,570 per person, and gets shorter lives in return. We saw why — a patchwork that runs all four models of health care at once (Beveridge for veterans, NHI for the old, Bismarck for workers, out-of-pocket for the uninsured), built by a wartime accident, with prices no one can see and an outcomes gap driven as much by guns, cars, food, and poverty as by the clinic. We named what the US does best (the world’s finest specialty and cancer care) and where it fails (access, cost, and a nursing workforce in crisis).

None of this settles the argument — it equips it. Other countries chose one model on purpose; the US can too. Which one depends on which of Part A’s values we put first: the most total health, the protection of the worst-off, the freedom to choose, or the capabilities every person needs. The model is yours to argue for.

Review Questions

Recall

Explain “it’s the prices, not the utilization,” and give two specific reasons US prices run higher than peer countries’.

Apply

A friend says, “Americans are unhealthy because they overuse the ER and eat badly — fixing insurance won’t help.” Using this lecture, where is your friend partly right, and where wrong?

Debate

Should the US adopt a single-payer system, a public option, or market reforms? Defend your choice using a specific theory of justice from Part A.

Key Terms

  • The four models — Beveridge (gov owns & pays), National Health Insurance (single gov payer, private care), Bismarck (regulated private funds), out-of-pocket (pay or go without).
  • Fragmentation — the US runs all four models at once, sorted by age, job, and income.
  • Employer-sponsored insurance — job-based coverage; ~half of Americans.
  • Medicare / Medicaid — federal coverage for the old/disabled / joint federal–state coverage for the low-income.
  • EMTALA — 1986 law requiring ERs to screen and stabilize regardless of ability to pay.
  • Tax exclusion — the untaxed status of employer health benefits; the largest federal tax expenditure.
  • “It’s the prices, not the utilization” — US spending is high because of prices, not volume of care.
  • Underinsurance / financial toxicity — having coverage but still unable to afford care, or bankrupted by it.
  • Single-payer / public option — one public insurer for all / a public plan competing with private ones.

Paired Case

Work through the paired case study on Singapore’s health care system — a country that covers everyone and lives longest while spending a quarter of what the US spends. It asks what the US can, and can’t, learn from a “fifth model,” and why Singapore’s success is harder to copy than it looks.

Further Reading

  • Reid, T. R. The Healing of America: A Global Quest for Better, Cheaper, and Fairer Health Care. Penguin, 2009. (Reid 2009)
  • Rosenthal, Elisabeth. An American Sickness: How Healthcare Became Big Business. Penguin, 2017.
  • Anderson, Hussey & Petrosyan. “It’s Still the Prices, Stupid.” Health Affairs (2019). (Anderson et al. 2019)
  • National Academies. U.S. Health in International Perspective: Shorter Lives, Poorer Health (2013). (National Research Council and Institute of Medicine 2013)

References

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Anderson, Gerard F., Peter Hussey, and Varduhi Petrosyan. 2019. “It’s Still the Prices, Stupid: Why the US Spends so Much on Health Care, and a Tribute to Uwe Reinhardt.” Health Affairs 38 (1): 87–95. https://doi.org/10.1377/hlthaff.2018.05144.
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